Our selections for the Final Four semifinal games worked out well. Our simulator predicted that Louisville would win the game, but in a closer game than expected. Thus, we liked Wich. St + the points.
In the other game, our simulator preferred Michigan slightly — so we called Michigan an “action” play. That is, we would lay-off the game unless we wanted some action in the big Final Four game.
In tonight’s NCAA Championship game, Louisville is favored by 4 points. We ran our simulator and this game is a virtual draw, with the computer picking Louisville to win by one point. We like Michigan with +4. The simulations show that the total of 139 is just about on — although some books are at 138.